NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 6, 2023: Model targeting Falcons, Seahawks (2024)

The Eagles and 49ers are the final undefeated teams entering the Week 6 NFL schedule, but no team is undefeated against the spread after five weeks. However, there are three franchises winless against the spread this season: the Giants, Broncos and Panthers. The Broncos already lost and failed to cover the spread this week, but can the Giants or Panthers break their streak and overcome the Week 6 NFL odds? The Giants are 15-point underdogs against the Bills in the latest NFL spreads, while the Panthers are 14-point underdogs against the Dolphins. The Giants will be without Daniel Jones (neck) and will turn to Tyrod Taylor to make his first start since Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season. Do any of these sides have an edge when looking into Week 6 NFL bets? All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 6 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 6 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 6 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 6 NFL picks is that the Falcons (-1.5) cover at home against the Commanders. Atlanta is 3-0 at home this season and Desmond Ridder is coming off his best game of the season after completing 28 of 37 passes for 329 yards and a touchdown. Washington faced a struggling quarterback last week in Justin Fields and ended up being exactly what the young signal-caller needed. Fields threw for 282 yards and four touchdowns against Washington in a 40-20 Bears win on Thursday Night Football. Chicago scored on all five of its first-half possessions and in eight of its 11 possessions in the game.

Washington has the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 32 points per game on 372.2 yards per game, the eighth-most in the NFL. The model projects these defensive struggles to continue as Atlanta scores 27 points, with Bijan Robinson recording more than 100 total yards as the Falcons cover in 58% of simulations.See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 6 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (+3) cover the spread on the road versus the Bengals. Seattle has won three straight games and enters off a bye week, during which players had adequate time to recover from previous injuries. In their three straight wins since an opening loss to the Rams, Seattle has won by six, 10, and 21 points. Seattle is also 3-1 against the spread, while Cincinnati is 2-7 against the number in their last nine games dating back to the 2022 season.

Seattle has only surrendered one turnover and is averaging 27.8 points per game this season, sixth in the league. On the other hand, Cincinnati is only averaging 16.6 points per game, fifth worst in the league to this point. On defense, Cincinnati has given up 154 yards per game on the ground, second worst in the NFL, which should be welcome news to the Seahawks' potent running back duo of Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet.See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 6 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule and revealed a coveted A-rated pick.You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated pick should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Week 6 NFL odds, lines, spreads

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Sunday, Oct. 15

Ravens vs. Titans in London (+5, 42.5)

Commanders at Falcons (-1.5, 42.5)

Vikings at Bears (+3, 44)

Seahawks at Bengals (-3, 45.5)

49ers at Browns (+9.5, 36)

Saints at Texans (+1.5, 42.5)

Colts at Jaguars (-4, 44)

Panthers at Dolphins (-14, 47.5)

Patriots at Raiders (-3, 41.5)

Lions at Buccaneers (+3, 42.5)

Cardinals at Rams (-7, 47.5)

Eagles at Jets (+6.5, 42.5)

Giants at Bills (-15, 43.5)

Monday, Oct. 16

Cowboys at Chargers (+1.5, 51)

NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 6, 2023: Model targeting Falcons, Seahawks (2024)

FAQs

What are the NFL odds for week 6? ›

Current NFL Week 6 Odds and Lines
GameSpreadMoneyline
Ravens at TitansRavens -5.5Ravens -215, Titans +190
Commanders at FalconsFalcons -2.5Commanders +110, Falcons -130
Vikings at BearsVikings -1.0Vikings -110, Bears -110
Seahawks at BengalsBengals -4.5Seahawks +175, Bengals -205
12 more rows

What is the most accurate NFL prediction site? ›

What is the best site for NFL predictions? Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives 🏈 fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024. Dimers Pro provides unlimited access to our site, so check out our NFL score predictions and best NFL bets today.

What is the highest spread in the NFL 2023? ›

The New York Giants had the highest spread by a team in a game in 2023, at +17.5 points versus the Cowboys on November 12.

How do you pick NFL spreads? ›

Choose the Favorite or Underdog.

That means if the spread is 5.5, the favorite would need to win the game by at least 6 points for you to win your bet, and the underdog would need to win the game outright or come within 5 points of winning if you bet on them.

How often are NFL odds correct? ›

From 2007 to 2020, closing spreads predicted the correct winner 65.9% of the time, while opening spreads predicted the correct winner just 63.5% of the time. For this reason, bettors looking to maximize performance should place their wagers as early as possible.

How accurate are NFL odds? ›

Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5% above a baseline would be considered a success. It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60% accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards.

Which website is 100% accurate for football predictions? ›

Focuspredict remains the best football prediction site in the world and we are the only site that predicts football matches correctly to our bettors.

What is the best predictive model for the NFL? ›

nfelo is a prediction model built on top of 538's Elo framework that uses unique dynamics about the NFL to improve prediction accuracy. It is one of the (if not the!) most accurate public models available on the internet.

What is the number 1 football prediction site? ›

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

What are the odds of the Seahawks winning the Super Bowl? ›

After posting a 9-8 record last season, the Seattle Seahawks' over/under of 7.5 wins projects a small decline is coming in 2024. The Seattle Seahawks, at +7500, currently have the 22nd-ranked odds to win the Super Bowl in the NFL. The Seahawks are +194 to advance to the playoffs.

What football team is most likely to win the Super Bowl 2023? ›

Kansas City Chiefs

What is the best NFL team prediction for 2023? ›

2023 Pick Six NFL Futures Championship, Odds, & Predictions 💰 (Football 8/31)
Pete PriscoJared Dubin
1.49ers49ers
2.SeahawksSeahawks
3.RamsRams
4.CardinalsCardinals
Sep 10, 2023

What is the best site for NFL predictions? ›

Bookies.com is the best site for NFL expert picks. Bookies.com offers sports bettors free NFL expert picks against the spread, moneyline, parlays, over/under totals, player/team props, futures, & more.

How to beat a spread? ›

Covering the spread simply means beating the spread line. So, if a team is -12 on the spread, they will cover it if they win the game by 13pts or more. Similarly, if the underdog is +12 on the spread, they need to lose by no more than 11pts.

How do I win if I bet the spread? ›

To cover the spread, a bettor must either bet on the favorite or the underdog, and to win their wager, the team must cover the point spread—or, win by more than the point spread. Betting the point spread is one of the most popular sports betting methods, along with money line bets, and over/under (total) bets.

What are the odds for NFL Week 7? ›

Current NFL Week 7 Odds and Lines
GameSpreadMoneyline
Packers at BroncosBroncos -3.5Packers +145, Broncos -170
Chargers at ChiefsChiefs -5.5Chargers +185, Chiefs -215
Dolphins at EaglesEagles -4.0Dolphins +160, Eagles -190
49ers at Vikings49ers -2.549ers -130, Vikings +110
12 more rows

What are the NFL odds for Week 8? ›

NFL Week 8 Odds
  • Opening line: Bengals -3; Over/Under 47. Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
  • Opening line: Bills -11; Over/Under 47.5. ...
  • Opening line: 49ers -2.5; Over/Under 41. ...
  • Opening line: Pick; Over/Under 41. ...
  • Opening line: Eagles -10.5; Over/Under 44. ...
  • Opening line: Buccaneers -1.5; Over/Under 43.5.

What are the odds for the Buccaneers Week 8? ›

The Bills are a 7.5-point favorite over the Buccaneers in NFL Week 8 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Buffalo is -375 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is +300. The over/under (point total) is set at 42.5 points.

What are the NFL power rankings after Week 6? ›

NFL Week 6 Power Rankings
  • San Francisco 49ers (No change)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (No change)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (up 3)
  • Buffalo Bills (down 1)
  • Miami Dolphins (down 1)
  • Dallas Cowboys (down 1)
  • Detroit Lions (up 1)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (up 1)
Oct 12, 2023

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