Kyle Larson became the first driver of the season to reach four wins after taking the checkered flag in the Brickyard 400 last month. After enjoying two weeks off, he'll try to extend his lead in the NASCAR standings on Sunday. The 2024 Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway will mark the return of the NASCAR Cup Series after a summer break and there are only four events remaining in the regular season. Larson has a 10-point lead over teammate Chase Elliott in the points race with Tyler Reddick lingering just five points behind Elliott. Larson is 13-2 in the 2024 Cook Out 400 odds, while Elliott is 14-1 and Reddick is 18-1.
Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell are the 4-1 co-favorites in the 2024 NASCAR at Richmond odds and the green flag drops at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before making any 2024 NASCAR at Richmond predictions, entering any NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR prop picks on sites like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, be sure tosee the latest 2024 Cook Out 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2024 Cook Out 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard.
Top 2024 Cook Out 400 predictions
For the second 2024 NASCAR at Richmond race, the model is high on Ty Gibbs, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2024 Cook Out 400 odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 21-year-old is the grandson of team owner Joe Gibbs and he's been pegged for stardom for years, winning 12 times in the NASCAR Xfinity Series over the last three seasons and piling up 18 ARCA Menards Series wins before that.
Gibbs was the NASCAR Cup Series Rookie of the Year in 2023 after piling up 10 top-10 finishes and finishing 18th in the standings. Now he's up to 11th in the standings and has already been top 10 on nine occasions over the first 22 races. Gibbs is currently 42 points clear of the NASCAR playoff bubble but he'll be eager for a strong finish in Richmond and possibly even a win to lock up his postseason spot.
Another massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas co-favorites at 4-1, barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2024 NASCAR Richmond starting lineup. Bell is coming off back-to-back seasons where he's made the season finale with a shot at the NASCAR Cup Series championship and he's piled up three wins already this season.
However, he's been a bit inconsistent and enters the weekend sitting eighth in the NASCAR standings. He's finished top-six in six of his last seven races at Richmond but failed to make it to victory lane and he finished outside the top 10 in three of his last four races before the break.See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Richmond picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2024 Cook Out 400 odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's Richmond NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 Cook Out 400, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Richmond odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 Cook Out 400 odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Richmond picks at SportsLine.
Denny Hamlin 4-1
Christopher Bell 4-1
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Kyle Larson 13-2
Joey Logano 10-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Chase Elliott 14-1
Chris Buescher 16-1
William Byron 16-1
Brad Keselowski 18-1
Tyler Reddick 18-1
Ty Gibbs 20-1
Josh Berry 25-1
Bubba Wallace 35-1
Ross Chastain 35-1
Alex Bowman 40-1
Kyle Busch 40-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
Todd Gilliland 100-1
Austin Cindric 100-1
Chase Briscoe 125-1
Justin Haley 150-1
Daniel Suarez 150-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1
Michael McDowell 150-1
Noah Gragson 200-1
Erik Jones 200-1
Carson Hocevar 200-1
Ryan Preece 250-1
John Hunter Nemechek 300-1
Riley Herbst 500-1
Zane Smith 500-1
Corey Lajoie 500-1
Parker Retzlaff 750-1
Harrison Burton 1500-1
Ty Dillon 2500-1
Daniel Hemric 2500-1
